Microprocessor 2010

• An Intel desktop microprocessor in 2010 might have performance of:

  • Integer: 80-4001 times a 1997 desktop computer (i.e. 27-135 BIPS)
  • Floating Point: 160-800 times a 1997 desktop computer (i.e. 23-117 GFLOPS)

1 Will probably require some additional breakthrough.

Most likely in the taming of parallelism

Source: DARPA ISAT Silicon 2010 Study, 1997

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Our group estimates that a single-chip “Intel”-like processor in 2010 could perform 80-400 times faster than a machine of today for integer operations and 160-800 times faster for floating point.

To achieve these rates, it is assumed architects have mastered efficient implementations of concurrent processing and that communication bottlenecks have been taken into account via architecture.