Uncertainties and Practical Implications of Global Technological Trends

Richard Newton

University of California

Uncertainties and Practical Implications of Global Technological Trends

Top 10 Technologies for 2000 and Beyond

PP Presentation

Semiconductors as Part of Gross World Product

Semiconductor Sales as % of Gross World Product Doubled Every Three Technology Generations

Saturation of Semiconductor Growth

Health of the Global Electronics Industry

Value Creation in Product Development

Value Creation in Product Development

Major Themes

The Computer is Dead

The Computer is Dead

The Computerless Computer Company

1980’s Interactive Systems

1990’s Interactive Systems

Cameras Everywhere!

Riding the Consumer Wave

The New Peripherals

Integrated Head-Mounted Display

Microsensor Technology

Microsensor Technology

Microsensor Technology

Grating Light Valve Display Prof. David Bloom, et. al. Ginston Laboratory, Stanford University

Single Pixel of the Grating Light Valve (GLV)

Cross Section View of the GLV

How the GLV Works

Fabrication with a single mask

Summary of the Grating Light Valve

The Computer is Dead

PP Presentation

Electronics Industry Revolution

Chip Interconnect Systems

IC technologies Today

A Moving Target

1990 Market Segments

Profits Without Production

Why Design Technology?

Growing Complexity

Bridging the Gap

Feature Size Trends for ICs and Boards

Why is "Assembly" of Strategic Importance?

Control the Narrows!

Electronic Contract Manufacturing

Electronic Contract Manufacturing

Electronics Industry Revolution

Electronics Industry Revolution

Software is Everything

Major Design Verification Tasks

Error-Free Software

(Embedded) Software is Everything

You Can’t Buy Software...

The Web has Arrived

The "Java Terminal"

The “Java Terminal” (or “Hollow Client”)

The "Java Terminal"

Elements of a Web-Based DT Architecture

You Can’t Buy Software...

... But You Can Pay for it!

It's What You Build

It's What You Build

It's What You Build

The Educational Dilemma

The Educational Dilemma

The Educational Dilemma